UPDATED: 08-28-26 11:10 PDT

stick Fla Atlantic
  
Fla Atlantic          
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 70.2406

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Maryland B10 ( 4- 8, 74.8) 7-39 906 H Florida AM 56-14 913 A Florida Intl CUSA ( 7- 6, 70.8) 28-38 927 H Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 26-55 1004 A Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 27-21 1011 H UAB AME ( 4- 8, 68.2) 53-33 1018 A So Florida AME ( 9- 4, 84.7) 13-48 1025 A Navy AME (10- 2, 78.8) 32-42 1108 H Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 67.6) 40-21 1115 A Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 24-35 1122 H UConn IND ( 9- 4, 74.4) 45-48 1129 H Ea Carolina AME ( 9- 4, 81.3) 3-42

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 A Maryland                7-39     -32   -10    --    -4.20
   913 A Florida Intl           28-38     -10    -6    --    -4.21
   927 H Memphis                26-55     -29    -2    ---  -11.80
  1004 A Rice                   27-21       6    -4    +++    9.83
  1011 H UAB                    53-33      20     7    +++    6.74
  1018 A So Florida             13-48     -35   -20           0.00
  1025 A Navy                   32-42     -10   -14    +      3.82
  1108 H Tulsa                  40-21      19     8    +++    6.11
  1115 A Tulane                 24-35     -11   -17    +      3.00
  1122 H UConn                  45-48      -3     1    --    -4.09
  1129 H Ea Carolina             3-42     -39    -6    ---   -8.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   927 H Memphis                26-55     -29    -2    ---  -11.80
  1129 H Ea Carolina             3-42     -39    -6    ---   -8.21
   830 A Maryland                7-39     -32   -10    --    -4.20
   913 A Florida Intl           28-38     -10    -6    --    -4.21
  1122 H UConn                  45-48      -3     1    --    -4.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1004 A Rice                   27-21       6    -4    +++    9.83
  1011 H UAB                    53-33      20     7    +++    6.74
  1108 H Tulsa                  40-21      19     8    +++    6.11
  1025 A Navy                   32-42     -10   -14    +      3.82
  1115 A Tulane                 24-35     -11   -17    +      3.00

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Maryland        ( 4- 8, 74.8)     7-39      -25.12      26.10       5.26         1.16           -11.51
   3 A Florida Intl    ( 7- 6, 70.8)    28-38      -29.13      22.09       5.26         1.16           -13.83
   3 H Memphis         ( 8- 5, 77.7)    26-55      -22.20      29.02      -5.26         1.16           -15.92
   3 A Rice            ( 6- 7, 68.8)    27-21      -31.09      20.13       5.26         1.16            58.86
   3 H UAB             ( 4- 8, 68.2)    53-33      -31.66      19.56      -5.26         1.16            33.14
   3 A So Florida      ( 9- 4, 84.7)    13-48      -15.18      36.04       5.26         1.16            -5.75
   3 A Navy            (10- 2, 78.8)    32-42      -21.10      30.12       5.26         1.16            -9.18
   3 H Tulsa           ( 4- 8, 67.6)    40-21      -32.29      18.93      -5.26         1.16            31.70
   3 A Tulane          (11- 3, 82.0)    24-35      -17.89      33.33       5.26         1.16            -7.32
   3 H UConn           ( 9- 4, 74.4)    45-48      -25.49      25.73      -5.26         1.16           -17.82
   3 H Ea Carolina     ( 9- 4, 81.3)     3-42      -18.61      32.61      -5.26         1.16           -13.84
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        28.53

winning pts = 123.6976 losing points = -95.1719

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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